Generous-Fiction
0x952497ebc543fe3150ef264576e21a6041981242
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
910 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$909.50
$73.67
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
518 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$518.00
$62.16
- YES
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
21020 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
12339 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
1774 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-849.36
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
1322 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?
569 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-411.80
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
509 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-274.99
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
358 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-268.57
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.65Sep 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$12.04Sep 4, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$9.90Sep 4, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$900.00Sep 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$39.24Sep 4, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$1.26Sep 4, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$135.00Sep 4, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$450.00Sep 4, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$58.50Sep 4, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$72.00Sep 4, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$72.00Sep 4, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$22.03Sep 4, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$28.44Sep 4, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$64.38Sep 4, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$22.50Sep 4, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$4.50Sep 4, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$690.62Sep 4, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$1.2KSep 4, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$591.10Sep 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$0.28Sep 4, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $198.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 27, 03:50 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 5, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.