Ecstatic-Fairness
0x953188e31c7d38932b8cddb876c3487106f43bba
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.75
Realised
$2.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on February 17?
423 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2PM ET
81 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-35.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
23 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 36°C or higher on February 16?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
9 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C or higher on February 16?$5.10Mar 1, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 18?$16.21Mar 1, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on February 17?$30.43Mar 1, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 18?$5.00Feb 17, 07:26 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 18?$5.00Feb 17, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 18?$5.00Feb 17, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 18?$5.00Feb 17, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 18?$0.30Feb 17, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 18?$5.00Feb 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 17?$5.04Feb 17, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$9.29Feb 17, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 22:25 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on February 17?$5.00Feb 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on February 17?$5.00Feb 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on February 17?$5.00Feb 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on February 17?$0.28Feb 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on February 17?$0.29Feb 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on February 17?$0.42Feb 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 16?$10.10Feb 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 17?$5.00Feb 16, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".