0x95325c50388bb729fddd8762d34256b990e824dc
0x95325c50388bb729fddd8762d34256b990e824dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.00
Total PnL
$-24.74
Realised
$-12.61
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 12?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$6.00
$3.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or higher on April 9?
64 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 9?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 10?
38 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 10?
27 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 9?
21 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?
17 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 13?
13 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 9?
11 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?
5 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?$0.00Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 12?$0.00Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 9?$0.00Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 13?$0.00Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?$0.00Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 9?$0.00Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 10?$0.00Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?$0.00Apr 21, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 12?$0.00Apr 21, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 9?$0.00Apr 21, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 10?$0.00Apr 21, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 13?$0.00Apr 21, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 9?$0.00Apr 21, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?$0.00Apr 21, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or higher on April 9?$0.00Apr 21, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 9?$0.00Apr 21, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 10?$0.00Apr 21, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 10?$0.00Apr 21, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 9?$0.00Apr 21, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or higher on April 9?$0.00Apr 21, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.