Majestic-Insurance
0x9538b86c65607d94bb5cf8b8f356a789644983a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-3.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
53341 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-962.05
- YES
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?
30717 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-74.95
- NO
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
5210 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-693.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
5066 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-163.99
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1897 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-144.00
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
688 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Daniel Day-Lewis win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
478 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
208 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
OpenAI social app in 2025?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
192 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$312.00Nov 7, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$531.96Nov 7, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$542.00Nov 7, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$324.00Nov 7, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$76.00Nov 3, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$68.00Nov 3, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?$10.00Oct 23, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$160.71Oct 23, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?$55.00Oct 21, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?$10.00Oct 21, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$45.00Oct 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$11.00Oct 16, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$55.00Oct 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$65.00Oct 10, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$76.00Oct 8, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$13.00Oct 8, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13.39Oct 8, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$17.00Sep 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFunding lapse without government shutdown? $20.00Sep 30, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$2.00Sep 30, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $70.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.