Discrete-Cape
0x953bbf7e57a981b4cecc4b4ea21e5d29ac7bb5e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$20.41
Total PnL
$0.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$20.41
$10.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Mar 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$10.00Mar 15, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$9.65Mar 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?$10.00Mar 15, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.00Mar 15, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$18.19Mar 8, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $8.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 12:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.