0x954e0bd7f4075283bacdfcb1453db5c51bec66f0
0x954e0bd7f4075283bacdfcb1453db5c51bec66f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.17
Realised
$-1.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
88 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 8?
70 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Arbitrum win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BRITAIN
Euro Basket: Germany vs Great Britain
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Turkish president on September 25?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- REPUBLIC
Euro Basket: Serbia vs Czech Republic
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- REPUBLIC
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Czech Republic
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ESTONIA
Euro Basket: Estonia vs Turkey
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00May 21, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.08May 21, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$10.15Mar 23, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$10.00Mar 22, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$8.57Jan 18, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.21Jan 8, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$10.00Jan 6, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 26, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Amish" or "Rancher" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.43Dec 10, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" 5+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Amish" or "Rancher" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$6.83Dec 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$9.00Dec 3, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Burger" or "Hamburger" at the NYT DealBook Summit?$1.00Dec 3, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?$1.00Nov 21, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walmart say "OpenAI" during earnings call?$1.00Nov 20, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 07:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".