0x955936c1bc13d4d6fa68ed45679fd04c642ce5bc
0x955936c1bc13d4d6fa68ed45679fd04c642ce5bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5
5600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
35 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- NO
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
21 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- NO
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
8 shares @ 81.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$5.52Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$5.12Jul 2, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$6.21Jul 1, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$5.12Jul 1, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?$6.76Jun 30, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?$5.04Jun 30, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$6.39Jun 29, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$5.33Jun 29, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?$7.65Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?$6.53Jun 28, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-27?$6.09Jun 28, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-27?$5.20Jun 27, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$6.17Jun 27, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$5.03Jun 26, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$6.92Jun 25, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$6.33Jun 24, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$6.98Jun 23, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$6.03Jun 23, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$11.73Jun 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$4.99May 12, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.