Natural-Assumption
0x955b5a51fad39f15e24302a64f02a5f780b40d49
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-85.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on September 27?
1905 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 30?
1100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.20
- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
79 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
42 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Friday?
13 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 30?$23.97Sep 25, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 30?$0.22Sep 25, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on September 27?$40.00Sep 24, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$3.00Sep 22, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$3.00Sep 22, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$3.00Sep 22, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?$1.50Aug 29, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$5.00Jul 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by Friday?$1.00Jun 24, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on Qatar today?$7.14Jun 24, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$3.00Jun 23, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Qatar today?$5.00Jun 23, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by Monday?$3.00Jun 23, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?$4.00Jun 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$68.50Jun 22, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$10.00Jun 16, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$15.00Jun 15, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Jun 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$6.43Jun 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$10.00Apr 25, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $10.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 25, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".