Jagged-Metallurgist
0x9565252da633b940d58620c3e5e722a5b3afcaf7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-508.82
Realised
$-117.16
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 31?
186 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?
166 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-43.11
- NO
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
155 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-154.08
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?
144 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 25?
128 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 14?
126 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 16?
116 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- SAN FRANCISCO DONS
San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
113 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 18?
101 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26?
99 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-27.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 24?$56.51Jul 24, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 24?$54.81Jul 23, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 1?$54.16Jul 1, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 1?$52.91Jul 1, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 25?$1.91Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?$3.84Jun 4, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$72.12May 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$0.07May 27, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$0.05May 27, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$69.48May 27, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$3.09May 25, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$74.32May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$0.09May 18, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$72.30May 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 14?$2.83May 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 12?$1.53May 11, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 19?$66.07May 11, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 27?$0.00May 2, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 25?$1.36Apr 26, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 22?$0.00Apr 26, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $36.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.