Youthful-Armoire
0x95687ff6388ad32ef2a2cec63aa0c6644848cfaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$7.42
Total PnL
$-40.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.60
$0.60
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- YES
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the Oscars?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will "President" be said at the Oscars?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
2433 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.46
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
31 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
16 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Elon" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Greenland" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "President" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.00Mar 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 15, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 15, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Mar 15, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Venezuela" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.20Mar 14, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: January$3.03Mar 14, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$4.17Mar 14, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$5.06Mar 14, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?$8.93Mar 14, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 29, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$1.90Jan 26, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$2.10Jan 26, 21:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 01:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.