Nonstop-Plier
0x956e7812e85f827f20aa684d80ce9d66a4197e32
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$102.74
Total PnL
$-1.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?
25 shares @ 52.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$11.63
$-1.38
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?
17 shares @ 41.2¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$10.62
$3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?
25 shares @ 42.4¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$10.38
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?
20 shares @ 44.5¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$9.50
$0.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 20?
20 shares @ 44.3¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.00
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$7.30
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?
20 shares @ 34.7¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$6.50
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?
20 shares @ 36.2¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$6.20
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?
15 shares @ 39.3¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$5.92
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?
16 shares @ 34.9¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$5.20
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?$1.27Jun 18, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?$1.91Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?$1.76Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?$1.91Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?$2.41Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?$2.16Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?$2.56Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 19?$1.96Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 19?$2.16Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?$1.76Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?$2.06Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?$1.96Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?$2.00Jun 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?$1.81Jun 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 20?$2.31Jun 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?$1.81Jun 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?$2.76Jun 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?$2.16Jun 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?$2.31Jun 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?$1.86Jun 18, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 06:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.