Hopeful-Act
0x956f48875abb78383efc79bc976ef7cc38665db5
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$91.04
Total PnL
$12.92
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 28?
23 shares @ 24.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 28, 2026$22.67
$17.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$12.70
$7.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?
33 shares @ 29.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$12.34
$2.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 29?
28 shares @ 34.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$9.73
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 30?
28 shares @ 36.3¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$8.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?
19 shares @ 25.5¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$6.59
$1.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?
35 shares @ 14.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$5.44
$0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 30?
19 shares @ 23.8¢·now 26.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.98
$0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 30?
15 shares @ 32.3¢·now 31.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.55
$-0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?
37 shares @ 9.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$3.53
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 30?$4.74May 28, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 28?$3.97May 28, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?$3.65May 28, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?$4.37May 28, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$4.98May 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 30?$4.90May 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 30?$10.32May 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 29?$10.06May 28, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 28?$5.82May 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?$5.13May 28, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?$9.89May 28, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?$4.04May 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 28?$4.37May 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?$3.82May 28, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?$4.53May 28, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?$9.77May 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?$4.82May 28, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?$10.09May 28, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.01May 16, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$0.00May 16, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 09:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".