Compassionate-History
0x957489369395cb48923da36783096ec49f141175
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$7.69
Total PnL
$-35.36
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YELLOW SUBMARINE
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$7.69
$2.69
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
55 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$5.05Jun 27, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$10.51May 17, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$322.26May 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$320.00Jan 25, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$23.00Oct 29, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?$4.00Aug 2, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$7.00Aug 2, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Aug 2, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$371.36Jul 4, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$372.49Jul 4, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$47.20Jul 4, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$110.44Jul 4, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$6.00Jun 24, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$4.00Jun 24, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMArsenal wins the Premier League?$122.45Jun 24, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$23.00Apr 24, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$120.00Mar 9, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trae Young win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$245.41Mar 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trae Young win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$245.66Mar 9, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$165.22Mar 9, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $136.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.