Lively-Tile
0x95836626b4cd5ea4b6a864faddedb736a684bd4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$10.28
Total PnL
$-175.81
Realised
$-8.95
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
49 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.42
$-0.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 75,400 on April 15, 11AM ET?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.