Light-Doubter
0x95857988f493e0965485c26b8882a40acfa061d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$399.97
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$17.11
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
400 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$399.97
$31.30
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
4203 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-26.74
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
1706 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?
721 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-679.30
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
692 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House press briefing?
310 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-86.80
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
204 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-79.18
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
160 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.46
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
128 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
121 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$18.00Feb 9, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$17.60Feb 3, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in February?$84.70Feb 3, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$92.60Feb 3, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$92.30Feb 3, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$92.00Feb 3, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$91.77Feb 3, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in February?$376.51Jan 31, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $190 before 2026??$52.64Jan 31, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 5?$62.50Jan 31, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House press briefing?$104.30Jan 31, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in January?$157.07Jan 31, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in February?$218.09Jan 31, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$91.60Jan 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$91.00Jan 18, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?$70.46Jan 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$37.00Jan 11, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$27.00Jan 11, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $133.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 20:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".