Feisty-Diaphragm
0x959028a910c0670e370dd04a92a9dc619f73d49f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$112.02
Total PnL
$-222.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.25 Week of July 13 2026?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$100.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.92
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?
1600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 2?
840 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 8?
831 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 5?
784 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12?
766 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31?
764 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 2?
756 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21?
719 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.25 Week of July 13 2026?$100.00Jul 17, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$4.94Jul 17, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $620?$104.21Jul 17, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $620?$104.00Jun 26, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on May 31?$13.95Jun 26, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$90.91Jun 26, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$90.82May 31, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$89.88May 31, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$90.02May 31, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$90.97May 31, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$90.88May 30, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on May 31?$13.94May 30, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$10.32May 30, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$94.49May 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$94.40May 29, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$10.30May 29, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?$104.71May 29, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?$104.51May 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$11.95May 28, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$4.78May 28, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $79.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.