Tattered-Airbus
0x959ee35a65ef78a932392ad59101d86d7d555d55
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$50.87
Total PnL
$-655.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
79 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
42 shares @ 35.6¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$21.27
$6.27
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
588 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
221 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
155 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
136 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Belgium?
112 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.99Jul 20, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$168.78Jul 19, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$44.38Jul 19, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 4+ shots$20.63Jul 19, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$31.32Jul 19, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$102.04Jul 19, 15:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$35.86Jul 18, 21:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$0.28Jul 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$7.60Jul 15, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?$38.14Jul 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?$15.67Jul 15, 08:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$10.36Jul 14, 19:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $20.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.