Accomplished-Fringe
0x95a11bfd5e29a906611767f68c258a26093f7cc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-256.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on February 21?
176 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?
156 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?
149 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C or higher on February 18?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 23?
125 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on February 21?
67 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?
60 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?
56 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 19?
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 23?
50 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?$11.63Mar 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?$10.00Mar 4, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?$10.00Mar 4, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?$10.00Mar 4, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?$10.00Mar 4, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?$7.68Mar 4, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?$2.25Mar 3, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?$0.15Mar 3, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?$12.44Mar 2, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 28?$0.44Feb 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?$10.00Feb 28, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 28?$0.01Feb 28, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 1?$2.27Feb 28, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 1?$5.70Feb 28, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 1?$2.97Feb 28, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 1?$5.00Feb 27, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 28?$5.00Feb 27, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 1?$5.00Feb 27, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 27?$25.56Feb 27, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 1?$0.95Feb 27, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.