Normal-Encirclement
0x95a9585d568c8d95958593ca68b56e46dff0f3e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-255.30
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?
333 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?
306 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 28?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 27?
294 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?
294 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
120 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-43.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.37Jul 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$9.20Jul 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 18?$18.68Jul 17, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 11PM ET$0.36Jul 17, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1PM ET$3.00Jul 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 1PM ET$2.64Jul 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 17, 1PM ET$2.16Jul 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 17, 1PM ET$0.54Jul 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 17, 1PM ET$2.88Jul 17, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 17, 11AM ET$6.00Jul 17, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 11AM ET$6.00Jul 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$6.00Jul 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 18?$12.00Jul 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$6.00Jul 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 17, 12PM ET$3.00Jul 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 17, 11AM ET$0.65Jul 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 17, 11AM ET$2.35Jul 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 11AM ET$2.64Jul 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 17, 11AM ET$3.00Jul 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 17, 11AM ET$3.11Jul 17, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 18:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.