Shallow-Beauty
0x95aebce04219f003bc8178ccd9cd833c5f6146d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$56.25
Total PnL
$-319.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
56 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$56.25
$0.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
590 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
300 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
276 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-37.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
231 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
200 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
200 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
177 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-56.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
168 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-68.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
62 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-61.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$56.14Jun 10, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$56.00Jun 10, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$55.89May 21, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?$56.00May 21, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?$55.95May 6, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$56.02May 6, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$55.96Apr 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$13.08Mar 20, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.16Mar 20, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.64Mar 20, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.19Mar 20, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.62Mar 20, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$37.73Mar 20, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.13Mar 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.13Mar 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.24Mar 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.64Mar 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$6.38Mar 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.32Mar 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$3.19Mar 20, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $15.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.