Nifty-Baboon
0x95aec3eb7147fb17611473e7478af7f06a0a8d8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$13.03
Total PnL
$-81.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.03
$-0.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?
1800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get 76 million or more views on day 6?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 4?
650 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on January 21?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 5-11?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on March 13?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?
406 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on January 21?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 29?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$13.10Jul 18, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?$1.00Jun 5, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$2.00Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$75.15Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?$1.00Jun 4, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$1.00Jun 4, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?$1.07Jun 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$1.00Jun 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$75.01Jun 4, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$77.15Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$77.01Jun 1, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?$77.08May 24, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?$77.01May 24, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$46.05May 19, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$31.19May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$46.00May 19, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$3.85May 19, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$31.01May 19, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$81.08May 9, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$81.01May 9, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $53.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.