Skeletal-Ligand
0x95b8663f0e7e2502d73a17c03c9e1b2f8c6ee45a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$18.15
Total PnL
$-48.13
Realised
$0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 27 2026?
51 shares @ 59.9¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.04
$-15.50
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
28 shares @ 27.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.80
$-5.95
- YES
Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.30
$-0.01
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
171 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.77
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 27 2026?
40 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër end in a draw?
17 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$3.89Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of July 27 2026?$14.80Jul 28, 07:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.56Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of July 27 2026?$15.40Jul 27, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 27 2026?$11.55Jul 27, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 27 2026?$16.80Jul 27, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 27 2026?$0.30Jul 27, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 27 2026?$6.10Jul 27, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 27 2026?$6.20Jul 27, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 27 2026?$12.80Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 27 2026?$16.40Jul 26, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 24?$40.00Jul 25, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$40.00Jul 25, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?$1.31Jul 25, 01:26 UTC
- REWARD$1.45Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Orlando Pride win on 2026-07-24?$3.01Jul 24, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Orlando Pride win on 2026-07-24?$9.62Jul 24, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando Pride win on 2026-07-24?$12.80Jul 24, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-07-24?$5.24Jul 24, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-07-24?$5.36Jul 24, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $10.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.