Total-Accompanist
0x95bed9fbd22dd4f56a223545c17b0e3139130e8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$25.28
Total PnL
$-285.39
Realised
$-127.82
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- COLORADO ROCKIES
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$12.20
$7.20
- OVER
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$10.00
$2.60
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- MAPLE LEAFS
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
257 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-137.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
73 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
12 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
10 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
10 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?
10 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox$5.11Aug 7, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals$5.15Aug 7, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$4.62Jul 9, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5$3.30Jul 9, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5$5.56Jul 9, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5$6.24Jul 9, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$1.69Jul 9, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$2.30Jul 9, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$1.72Jul 9, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$2.71Jul 9, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$7.46Jul 9, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5$5.01Jun 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5$6.01Jun 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5$3.01Jun 20, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00May 24, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$7.58May 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$30.20May 24, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$25.68May 24, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.12May 24, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.16May 24, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $12.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.