Sour-Participation
0x95c5c09cb52fe2e206c6528291e61c0cf1b5e4ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by March 31?
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?
9 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
9 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
9 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Milei out as President of Argentina before July?
8 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
8 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?
8 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before July?$0.01Jul 1, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before July?$0.01Jun 24, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI buy X before July?$0.01Jun 24, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada join US as 51st state before July?$0.01Jun 17, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recession before May 2025?$0.01Apr 28, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before May?$0.01Apr 27, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYX allowed to operate in China before May?$0.01Apr 20, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$0.01Apr 9, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SOL flip ETH before May?$0.01Apr 2, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLula out before April?$0.01Mar 31, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?$0.01Mar 30, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by March 31?$0.01Mar 27, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by March 31?$0.01Mar 27, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYJumper airdrop in Q1 2025?$0.01Mar 26, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase airdrop in Q1 2025?$0.01Mar 23, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by March 31?$0.01Mar 22, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?$0.01Mar 22, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?$0.02Mar 21, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?$0.01Mar 20, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?$0.01Mar 18, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.