Tough-Crepe
0x95d146ff16ccd98671448b634b146ddf884a4bd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$93.76
Total PnL
$-0.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.00
$0.72
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
27 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$27.00
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.76
$-0.17
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?
17 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$17.00
$0.02
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥46.0% on July 18?
380 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.38
- NO
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$19.93Jan 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$5.91Jan 20, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$23.36Jan 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$2.00Jan 20, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?$16.98Jan 20, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$26.97Jan 20, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$17.98Jan 20, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$17.77Dec 15, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out before October?$18.00Dec 15, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$0.71Aug 31, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$16.91Aug 31, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$20.00Aug 31, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$19.98Aug 21, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?$24.98Jul 24, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$0.30Jul 20, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $12.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".