0x95d220ad422ec9436039e3050027004a48edc213
0x95d220ad422ec9436039e3050027004a48edc213
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$48.91
Total PnL
$-58.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 19?
34 shares @ 4.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$34.04
$32.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$5.30
$3.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 6?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$5.13
$3.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 6?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$2.35
$1.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$2.09
$1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 6?
1311 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 24?
251 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 6?
228 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 6?
202 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?
158 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 24?$0.13Apr 24, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 24?$0.21Apr 24, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 24?$1.00Apr 24, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 24?$0.09Apr 24, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 24?$0.08Apr 24, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 24?$0.09Apr 24, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 24?$0.88Apr 24, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 23?$0.15Apr 23, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 22?$0.09Apr 22, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 22?$0.40Apr 22, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 22?$0.01Apr 22, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 22?$0.89Apr 22, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22?$0.99Apr 22, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 21?$0.10Apr 21, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?$1.62Apr 21, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?$1.50Apr 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 19?$0.60Apr 19, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 19?$0.80Apr 19, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?$1.43Apr 19, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?$1.13Apr 19, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.