Irritating-Antennae
0x95e6e4e98cff312e521db95f8734f074d8cf1d2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-516.29
Win rate
0%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
550 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
390 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-65.16
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 or more countries in November 2025?
330 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
250 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-76.51
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
220 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
155 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-41.94
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
152 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?
150 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-40.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$3.76Aug 16, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$5.33Aug 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$5.29Aug 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$6.06Aug 16, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.30Aug 16, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$7.00Aug 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.28Aug 16, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$40.19Aug 16, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$14.54Aug 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.32Aug 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.29Aug 16, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.35Aug 16, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.32Aug 16, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$20.00Aug 6, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$5.26Aug 6, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$16.51Jun 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$5.27Jun 17, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.32Jun 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.28Jun 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$10.00Apr 19, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
41 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.