Wiry-Hen
0x960634497e9455795b2aa5d4efa2f429877a57bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$12.10
Total PnL
$-5.45
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 6?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$4.66
$2.33
- YES
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
1 shares @ 78.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 6?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- YES
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$-0.05
- NO
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.00
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.00
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.4B?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 6?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 6?$4.66Jul 5, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?$3.97Jul 5, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?$5.00Jul 5, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$5.68Jul 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$6.83Jul 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?$5.96Jul 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?$7.00Jul 5, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOverwatch: Twisted Minds vs Geekay Esports (BO3) - OCS EMEA Stage 2 Playoffs$1.00Jul 5, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 6?$8.51Jul 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 6?$9.60Jul 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.97Jul 5, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.00Jul 5, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.4B?$1.00Jul 5, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.01Jul 5, 18:16 UTC
- REWARD$5.98Jul 1, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Little Bear Ridge Road" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$0.00Jun 30, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?$0.00Jun 30, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on June 4?$0.00Jun 30, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.7% in May?$0.00Jun 30, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 5?$0.00Jun 30, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.