Unfinished-Atrium
0x960a522d3942037b5a9bca4b321afa5148f87062
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-119.03
Realised
$-2.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-43.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- NO
Will "Ella McCay" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2.5m?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-17.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$2.19Jan 16, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 62% and 64%?$15.80Jan 16, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Dec 22, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 15?$20.00Dec 22, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciucu win by 3-6%?$20.00Dec 22, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?$20.00Dec 22, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$20.00Dec 22, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 11?$40.00Dec 22, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$17.20Dec 13, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?$6.51Dec 11, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$14.60Dec 11, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?$6.44Dec 11, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$15.40Dec 11, 01:35 UTC
- REWARD$2.52Dec 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ella McCay" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2.5m?$13.40Dec 10, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?$16.20Dec 10, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?$16.80Dec 10, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 15?$4.75Dec 9, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 15?$14.25Dec 9, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 11?$17.20Dec 9, 02:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $22.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.