Scholarly-Confusion
0x960a89acaa22b5be4fba352ee4039629552ae8af
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-495.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
1043 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
698 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
477 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
315 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
203 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-76.96
- YES
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
150 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$8.71Jun 29, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.15Jun 17, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.32Jun 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.32Jun 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.32Jun 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.63Jun 17, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.63Jun 17, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.63Jun 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.63Jun 17, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.63Jun 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.63Jun 17, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.63Jun 17, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.63Jun 17, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.63Jun 17, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$0.28Jun 17, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?$3.09Jun 17, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$15.00Jun 17, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.23Jun 15, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$12.18Jun 15, 03:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.04Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.