Hasty-Marimba
0x96135ec315a9942dfcc7fcd955485b6fa8cfeb95
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 16?$0.00Mar 17, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 16?$7.25Mar 17, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 16?$5.00Mar 16, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 16?$5.00Mar 16, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $210?$5.61Mar 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$6.54Mar 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$6.64Mar 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$5.00Mar 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$5.00Mar 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $210?$5.00Mar 13, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMNewcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5$0.00Mar 13, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMReal Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$0.00Mar 13, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?$0.00Mar 13, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 10?$0.00Mar 13, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 12?$0.00Mar 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$10.27Mar 13, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 12?$0.00Mar 13, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on March 12?$0.00Mar 13, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 12?$0.00Mar 13, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on March 12?$0.00Mar 13, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 04:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.