Definitive-Inequality
0x962b743ad36fcb950bf8c83c60186a7bd8526d5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$16.29
Total PnL
$-3.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 22?
13 shares @ 55.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$7.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 24?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?
8 shares @ 11.9¢·now 10.1¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 24?
11 shares @ 0.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.78
$0.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 24?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 23?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 5.2¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 22?$7.16Jun 22, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?$7.10Jun 22, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?$5.07Jun 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?$2.03Jun 22, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 24?$1.05Jun 22, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 24?$1.05Jun 22, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?$1.04Jun 22, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?$1.47Jun 22, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 23?$1.05Jun 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?$1.04Jun 22, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 22?$1.23Jun 22, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?$1.56Jun 22, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 22, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 22, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 24?$1.04Jun 22, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?$1.03Jun 22, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 21?$1.75Jun 22, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.76Jun 22, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.