Fragrant-School
0x9640a9a15537f470fbdd01f79f1bafb54243eb27
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-458.60
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?
5005 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-93.59
- NO
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
520 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.80
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
500 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-21.25
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
300 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 13?
206 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-30.65
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
200 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?
150 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
150 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.55
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 8AM ET
135 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Feb 23, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?$15.00Jan 29, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 18, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.00Jan 17, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.70Jan 15, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.00Jan 15, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$23.49Jan 15, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$3.50Jan 13, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$3.50Jan 13, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?$1.66Jan 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?$1.56Jan 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?$0.15Jan 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?$1.56Jan 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?$0.92Jan 13, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?$0.65Jan 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?$6.75Jan 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?$10.00Jan 12, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?$0.55Jan 11, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?$1.10Jan 11, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?$15.00Jan 9, 23:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".