Severe-Forte
0x96486ea32277a3adae4356af4e961929ef8b6338
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$37.74
Total PnL
$-114.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$37.74
$17.74
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
348 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
96 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $116K on September 1?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $124000 on August 15?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
47 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.00Jan 25, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 25, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$10.00Oct 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 15?$5.00Oct 15, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$8.00Sep 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?$20.00Sep 17, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?$20.00Sep 12, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on September 5?$2.00Aug 31, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 5?$3.00Aug 31, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4400 and $4500 on September 5?$5.00Aug 31, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $108K on September 1?$16.36Aug 30, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $116K on September 1?$10.00Aug 28, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $108K on September 1?$5.00Aug 28, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 27?$2.00Aug 22, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 27?$2.00Aug 22, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $116K on August 25?$16.25Aug 22, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 22?$16.67Aug 22, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $116K on August 25?$5.00Aug 21, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$15.00Aug 21, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 22?$2.00Aug 21, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".