Keen-Loneliness
0x966b98491be8c1b2a0d3104c0c7bdf6a38302ee6
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$32.83
Total PnL
$-609.19
Realised
$26.07
Win rate
63%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.03
$0.87
- NO
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
5 shares @ 84.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.97
$0.69
- NO
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.64
$2.56
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.59
$0.13
- NO
Will Ariana Grande feature Billie Eilish on Petal?
5 shares @ 83.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.34
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.04
$-0.56
- NO
Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above $175B?
5 shares @ 90.1¢·now 50.6¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$2.57
$-2.00
- NO
Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above $125B?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$2.36
$-1.24
- NO
Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 11.1¢·now 25.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.30
$0.73
- NO
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 105 mph?$4.87Jul 29, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026?$1.36Jul 27, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLAWS service disrupted by July 31?$4.41Jul 27, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine?$1.60Jul 25, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?$4.61Jul 24, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Weijia Jiang by July 31?$0.57Jul 24, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?$2.08Jul 23, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?$3.04Jul 22, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?$3.60Jul 22, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$3.65Jul 22, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?$2.74Jul 22, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?$3.60Jul 22, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?$4.16Jul 22, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by July 31, 2026?$4.16Jul 22, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026?$0.67Jul 22, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above $175B?$4.57Jul 22, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande feature Billie Eilish on Petal?$4.25Jul 21, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?$4.46Jul 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?$4.27Jul 21, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon anyone by July 31?$3.80Jul 21, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
78/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
38 closed markets, 63% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.