Keen-Loneliness
0x966b98491be8c1b2a0d3104c0c7bdf6a38302ee6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$106.51
Total PnL
$-561.90
Realised
$11.03
Win rate
57%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.06
$0.25
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?
5 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.85
$0.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
5 shares @ 79.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.82
$0.87
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.59
$0.80
- NO
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.59
$-0.17
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.22
$0.11
- NO
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17B by June 30?
12 shares @ 87.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.19
$-6.39
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
7 shares @ 37.6¢·now 61.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.01
$1.55
- NO
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.87
$-1.31
- NO
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by June 30?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.68
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$2.46Jun 14, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Carell attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.98Jun 14, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sabrina Carpenter attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.91Jun 14, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Carell attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.28Jun 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sabrina Carpenter attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.08Jun 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?$3.07Jun 14, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?$11.27Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$4.84Jun 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?$2.26Jun 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?$4.81Jun 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$5.39Jun 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.24Jun 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?$2.24Jun 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$5.93Jun 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?$4.81Jun 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.38Jun 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$1.36Jun 13, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $5.07Jun 13, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?$0.18Jun 13, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?$0.86Jun 13, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.