Sociable-Lag
0x966c7fa11627f7633eb9dcf7b271e1417a3f391e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$7.90
Total PnL
$-1.80
Realised
$-0.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.57
$0.01
- NO
Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.29
$0.00
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $295–300 in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$278.88Dec 15, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$284.00Dec 12, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?$284.43Dec 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?$285.29Dec 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$285.43Dec 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$288.00Dec 12, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $295–300 in 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$0.59Dec 12, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 11, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?$1.01Dec 11, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$1.01Dec 11, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.03Dec 11, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?$1.03Dec 11, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?$1.00Jun 14, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.00Jun 14, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?$1.00Jun 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$1.00Jun 14, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amaury Cordeel win the 2025 F2 Bahrain Grand Prix?$1.00Jun 14, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield be above 4.8% on April 11?$1.00Jun 14, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $59.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 10:08 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".