Third-Creditor
0x9688e1c1f904664162c7e3c7fd42716e914561a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$97.19
Total PnL
$-11.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?
97 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$97.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 19?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $102,000 on December 10?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 23?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 8?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 4?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$97.01Jun 1, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?$97.19Jun 1, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?$97.01May 23, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17?$97.10May 23, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17?$97.01May 17, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?$97.10May 17, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?$97.01May 13, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$97.10May 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$97.00May 7, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$97.10May 7, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$97.00May 4, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$2.14May 4, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 27?$99.09May 4, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 27?$99.00Apr 26, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 23?$99.09Apr 26, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 23?$99.00Apr 23, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 18?$99.09Apr 23, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 18?$99.00Apr 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 19?$2.00Apr 18, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 15?$101.09Apr 18, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $91.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".