Cooked-Slot
0x9690090e1d1dff15c2b068e3b7dab6719cf6e3b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$458.15
Total PnL
$-434.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
210 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$209.59
$9.59
- YES
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$138.90
$38.90
- NO
Netanyahu out by 2025?
110 shares @ 91.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$109.65
$9.65
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
713 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
360 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-195.03
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Golf" during his announcement on September 2?
70 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: October
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Russia" during his announcement on September 2?
49 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$200.00Nov 6, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$20.00Oct 29, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$2.00Oct 29, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$3.15Oct 29, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President in 2025?$54.29Oct 29, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$133.20Oct 29, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: October$20.00Oct 1, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?$1.43Oct 1, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?$1.54Oct 1, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMGreta Thunberg arrested by September 30?$25.00Oct 1, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by September 30?$20.00Sep 30, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?$1.00Sep 30, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$102.74Sep 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$80.00Sep 26, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$20.00Sep 26, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$10.00Sep 26, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$20.00Sep 26, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?$1.00Sep 26, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$3.00Sep 25, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $60.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.