Worthless-Rainmaker
0x969015d0da8a5159f80c95d57e2c8d031180abf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.97
Realised
$-0.51
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
123 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 12?
45 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will Doly Begum win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada?
41 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.61
- YES
Will KFC Komárno win on 2026-04-11?
35 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NK SLAVEN BELUPO
Spread: NK Slaven Belupo (-2.5)
30 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on April 14?
25 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 13?
25 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- NK SLAVEN BELUPO
Spread: NK Slaven Belupo (-1.5)
25 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: CD Universidad Católica (-2.5)$0.01Apr 13, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Madz win the Legend Trade Series?$0.05Apr 13, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VOLT win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$0.04Apr 13, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 100-119 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.01Apr 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 13?$0.25Apr 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on April 14?$0.20Apr 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 13?$0.38Apr 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 69,200 on April 8, 11PM ET?$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 13?$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMNerman Fatic vs. Franco Agamenone: Total Sets O/U 2.5$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 71,600 on April 8, 11PM ET?$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMT20 Kalahari Tournament, Women: Botswana vs Malawi - Most Sixes Botswana Winner$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMFatic vs. Agamenone: Match O/U 21.5$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on April 9?$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 11?$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anna Muzychuk win on 2026-04-11 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Women?$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cincinnati Reds (-5.5)$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.