Cultivated-Birdbath
0x96983bed18de61a22296be9767b6e2ecc13bdb0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
2024 July hottest on record?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
9 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
U.S. Recession in 2024?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump + Biden 2nd debate happen as scheduled?
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS GDP declines in Q3 2024?$0.00Jul 16, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$0.00Jun 26, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$0.00May 19, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$0.00May 19, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$0.00Dec 3, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?$1.00Oct 30, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?$1.00Oct 30, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.00Oct 30, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.34Oct 30, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$1.00Aug 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut in 2024?$1.44Aug 16, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$1.00Aug 13, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Recession in 2024?$1.00Aug 8, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS GDP declines in Q3 2024?$1.00Aug 8, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in 2024?$2.00Aug 8, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$1.00Aug 8, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$1.00Aug 8, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?$3.00Aug 8, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 July hottest on record?$2.00Aug 8, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$2.00Aug 8, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".