Breakable-Amazement
0x969fae0a3a93778adc42178f72c612ed8c4e4d55
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$26.9K
Total PnL
$-275.6K
Realised
$-9.4K
Win rate
69%
138 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of July?
4475 shares @ 84.7¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.5K
$-255.68
- YES
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of July?
2137 shares @ 94.9¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.0K
$-21.48
- YES
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?
13263 shares @ 20.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.8K
$-846.29
- NO
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?
2166 shares @ 43.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.7K
$790.69
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?
1757 shares @ 95.4¢·now 91.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.6K
$-61.74
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $225 on July 28?
1511 shares @ 89.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.5K
$127.86
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
1240 shares @ 92.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.2K
$82.50
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
1100 shares @ 94.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.1K
$43.15
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
1089 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.1K
$30.56
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
898 shares @ 85.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$894.47
$125.45
Recent activity
- MERGEWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$92.00Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$39.54Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of July 27 2026?$182.11Jul 28, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$246.24Jul 28, 15:56 UTC
- MERGEWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 28?$221.00Jul 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 28?$222.58Jul 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$369.28Jul 28, 15:51 UTC
- MERGEWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on July 28?$31.82Jul 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on July 28?$0.35Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on July 28?$1.77Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on July 28?$0.11Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- MERGEWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$15.00Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$64.01Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$4.80Jul 28, 15:47 UTC
- MERGEWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$60.98Jul 28, 15:47 UTC
- MERGEWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 28?$406.00Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$19.51Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$141.00Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$28.27Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 28?$15.88Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$83.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 24, 14:50 UTC → Jul 10, 02:44 UTC
- BUYColorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants$65.7K@50¢Jul 10, 02:44 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 138 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
138 closed markets, 69% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$65.7K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
$65.7K · 79% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $117.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 14:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 138 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.