Outlying-Livestock
0x96ac7434abdfa454051af90175038f040428b94f
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.61
Total PnL
$-64.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.20
$3.20
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$2.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 2?
85 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
84 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fuck" this week?
81 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will France win the UEFA Women's Euro?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.60 in May?
13 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Dec 1, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$5.00Oct 8, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$2.00Oct 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$10.00Aug 11, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the UEFA Women's Euro?$3.00Jul 19, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Jul 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" this week?$3.00Jul 8, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$20.00May 17, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$9.16May 14, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$10.00May 6, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 in May?$7.00May 2, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 2?$5.00Apr 30, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$5.00Apr 30, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$10.00Apr 30, 14:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $6.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".