Sparkling-Commonsense
0x96b59f71f635da5da031e3e93448c54fe226f5e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$76.5K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-5.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
40057 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$39.9K
$938.31
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
40000 shares @ 87.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$36.2K
$1.2K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
20000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$410.00
$10.00
- YES
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
155 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.40
$1.40
- YES
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
14000 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
14000 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
14000 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
13717 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
13512 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
12132 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$41.87Jul 29, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.99Jul 29, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$997.00Jul 29, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$320.39Jul 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$87.85Jul 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$400.00Jul 29, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$14.7KJul 29, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$874.27Jul 29, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$7.6KJul 28, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$7.6KJul 28, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$112.40Jul 22, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$300.00Jul 22, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$8.91Jul 22, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.95Jul 22, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.75Jul 22, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.00Jul 22, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$14.8KJul 22, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.48Jul 22, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$99.00Jul 22, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$21.38Jul 22, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$35.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
84%
Window
May 29, 02:10 UTC → Jul 8, 23:38 UTC
- SELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$5.8K@100¢May 29, 02:01 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
84%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
$29.5K · 84% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.