Murky-Stonework
0x96c0f2976c4f907160e5a65487ebe16eb801b412
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$14.25
Total PnL
$-4.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?
15 shares @ 26.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$3.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.36
$-1.64
- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.74
$-0.26
- NO
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
8 shares @ 26.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.27
$-2.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 8?$0.005h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 7?$0.005h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?$0.465h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?$4.105h ago
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.045h ago
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$2.065h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?$3.095h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$2.065h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?$3.085h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?$1.035h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 7?$0.006h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 8?$0.006h ago
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$0.006h ago
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$16.676h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?$4.782d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?$4.772d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on May 7?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on May 7?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 8?$3.063d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $13.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
