Hateful-Tile
0x96ce581918a0e34aaf42e950f1893ebb4369c565
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$15.74
Total PnL
$-2.70
Realised
$-1.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$7.84
$0.02
- YES
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.40
$0.40
- NO
Will Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$3.50
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$308.86Dec 15, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out in 2025?$4.00Dec 12, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$317.20Dec 12, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$307.50Dec 12, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$311.60Dec 12, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$2.00Dec 11, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.15Dec 11, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.03Dec 11, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.05Dec 11, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut in 2025?$1.08Dec 11, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate hike in 2025?$1.18Dec 11, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Finals G7: Will Haliburton score 15+ points against the Thunder? $1.27Dec 11, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?$2.05Dec 11, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Finals G7: Will Haliburton score 15+ points against the Thunder? $1.00Jun 21, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?$2.00Mar 17, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Mar 17, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$1.00Mar 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut in 2025?$1.00Mar 17, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?$0.00Mar 17, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMGustavo Petro out as Colombia president before March?$0.00Mar 17, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $37.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.