Demanding-Toast
0x96d4d6f895f0389c2e09572f1a15c4c1a7daf4e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
280 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.48
- YES
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?
201 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?
24 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will a club from Europe win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jul 5, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jul 5, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jul 4, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.89Jul 4, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?$0.24Jul 3, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLElon no longer world's richest before August?$0.75Jul 3, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?$0.50Jul 3, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLYoon arrested before September?$0.92Jul 3, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 120–134 times June 27–July 4?$0.00Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 105–119 times June 27–July 4?$0.00Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 90–104 times June 27–July 4?$0.00Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill The New York Times update its privacy policy before July?$0.00Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Iran on June 30?$0.00Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval >40% on July 1?$0.00Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall before July?$0.00Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$0.00Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $0.00Jul 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?$0.24Jun 30, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jun 30, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$4.48Jun 30, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.