Misguided-Confidentiality
0x96e508aecd79af38e2e27ef22469d1735c51c3b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-473.65
Realised
$-151.43
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 25?
240 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 23?
223 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 5?
217 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
186 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?
182 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?
157 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-41.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 9?
155 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 11?
151 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 13?
139 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-37.28
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 26?
110 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 9?$3.14Jul 8, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 5?$3.25Jul 5, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?$45.47Jun 1, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?$1.92Jun 1, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 May 18-24?$55.88May 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 May 18-24?$53.42May 24, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 23?$1.90May 22, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?$1.75May 19, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?$1.58May 12, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$1.80May 10, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 28?$50.93May 8, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 28?$49.30Apr 27, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down on April 18?$47.83Apr 27, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on April 18?$44.96Apr 18, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 12?$55.78Apr 18, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 12?$0.13Apr 11, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 12?$54.37Apr 11, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$49.50Apr 11, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?$3.54Apr 1, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 5PM ET$0.00Apr 1, 03:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $17.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 23:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.