Testy-Macaw
0x96e9038bdb156de809de9a9b829300df158be83c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$3.68
Realised
$5.01
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?
220 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will Luis Aragón be the next President of Peru?
40 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will Leavitt say "DEI" or "Transgender" during the next White House Press Briefing?
40 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Law and Order" during the next White House Press Briefing?
20 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump say “Princess” this week? (November 10 - 16)
2 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-0.53
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.96Mar 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?$0.01Feb 25, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?$0.01Feb 25, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Aragón be the next President of Peru?$0.02Feb 19, 07:43 UTC
- REWARD$1.35Feb 19, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.37Feb 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?$0.02Feb 18, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Law and Order" during the next White House Press Briefing?$0.60Feb 18, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?$0.18Feb 18, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?$0.06Feb 18, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?$0.02Feb 18, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?$0.40Feb 18, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?$0.02Feb 18, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?$0.02Feb 18, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?$0.02Feb 18, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?$0.02Feb 18, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?$0.02Feb 18, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?$0.02Feb 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?$0.40Feb 18, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Aragón be the next President of Peru?$0.04Feb 18, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 00:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.