Probable-Pagan
0x96ee7cd4b750452c64596951cf591238742f5704
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$12.01
Total PnL
$-614.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$12.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the St. Louis Blues win the Central Division?
1200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
16 shares @ 95.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-14.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$12.00May 14, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 96°F or higher on April 17?$14.03Apr 19, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?$15.01Apr 19, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?$17.02Apr 19, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?$15.00Apr 17, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$16.03Apr 16, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?$17.02Apr 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?$17.00Apr 16, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 96°F or higher on April 17?$14.00Apr 16, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?$17.00Apr 15, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$16.00Apr 15, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?$14.03Apr 15, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 15?$15.01Apr 15, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 15?$15.00Apr 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?$14.00Apr 14, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$15.00Apr 14, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$6.02Apr 14, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?$16.01Apr 14, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13?$21.02Apr 14, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?$16.00Apr 13, 07:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $295.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".