Rotating-Cough
0x96eede0725893db233c7f66f731808572c75bd76
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$9.8K
Total PnL
$-31.0K
Realised
$-6.1K
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
233574 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.3K
$-611.03
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
242862 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.6K
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
191001 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$859.50
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
86334 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$647.50
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
48530 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$509.57
$-791.48
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
127601 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$319.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
67765 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$304.94
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
193494 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$290.24
$-2.8K
- NO
Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?
9 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 16, 2026$8.44
$1.07
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2312 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.16
$-71.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01Jul 25, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01Jul 25, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01Jul 25, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.22Jul 25, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.32Jul 25, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.00Jul 25, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.02Jul 25, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.03Jul 25, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.03Jul 25, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01Jul 25, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.02Jul 25, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$16.22Jul 25, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.24Jul 25, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.09Jul 25, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$31.01Jul 25, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.71Jul 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.70Jul 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.70Jul 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.70Jul 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.70Jul 24, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.